
The Short Version
- The city's budget is balanced this year, but just barely, and only because of a healthy savings account (reserve fund).
- Without changes, the city expects to start losing money within 3 years.
- Voters will decide this November whether to raise the sales tax from 9.25% up to as high as 10.75%.
- The golf course everyone's heard about? Still not happening, the fund for it has zero dollars in it.
- Several big new housing and retail developments are moving forward, which matters a lot if you're buying, selling, or just curious what's coming to the neighborhood.
Where the City's Money Comes From
Think of the city budget like a household budget, just bigger. About $21.5 million comes in every year to run the city, and here's where it comes from:- 28¢ of every dollar: Sales tax (what you pay at the register)
- 21¢: Utility tax (on your gas, electric, phone bills)
- 13¢: Vehicle license fees
- 11¢: Miscellaneous income
- 10¢: Program fees (things like recreation classes, permits)
- 10¢: Other taxes
- 8¢: Property tax
Why is Hercules' property tax cut so small?
This isn't because homes in Hercules are cheap, and it isn't because residents are under-taxed. In fact, the city's own budget notes that Hercules residents pay a median effective property tax rate of 1.62%, a normal-to-high rate for California. The problem is how the pie gets sliced, not how big the pie is.Here's the short version: California caps property tax at 1% of a home's assessed value (that's Proposition 13, from 1978), and that 1% gets divided up between multiple agencies, city, county, school district, fire district, etc. How it's divided was locked in based on a formula from back before Prop 13 passed, tied to what each agency was collecting at the time.Hercules got a small slice in that original split, and it's stuck that way today. Of every $1 in property tax collected on a Hercules home:- $0.34 goes to West Contra Costa Unified School District
- $0.16 goes to K-12 schools (a state education fund)
- $0.16 goes to Contra Costa County
- $0.09 goes to the Rodeo-Hercules Fire District
- $0.05: just a nickel, goes to the City of Hercules
Where the Money Goes
Here's where every dollar of the city budget is spent:- 48¢: Police. By far the biggest expense.
- 18¢: Administration (running the city itself)
- 13¢: Parks & Recreation
- 9¢: Insurance
- 5¢: Community Development (planning, permits, code enforcement)
- 4¢: Debt and miscellaneous
- 3¢: Public Works (roads, infrastructure)
Is the City in Trouble?
Not in immediate danger, but there are warning signs:- The city has a healthy "rainy day fund", about 25% of its budget saved up, which is considered strong.
- BUT city officials themselves project a budget shortfall starting in 2028-29 if nothing changes. Costs (especially pension and labor costs) are growing faster than revenue.
- The retirement fund for city employees is about 76% funded, okay, but below the 80-90% range that's considered financially strong.
- Over half of the city's sales tax revenue comes from just three businesses. If any of them left town, that would hurt.
Wait, Is My Sales Tax Going Up?
This isn't in the budget document itself, but it's the big local news right now: yes, it might.In July 2026, the Hercules City Council voted to put a sales tax increase on the November 2026 ballot. Here's how it breaks down:- Today: 9.25%
- If the city's measure passes: 10.25%
- If a separate regional transit tax ALSO passes on the same ballot: 10.75%
What About the Golf Course?
Still not happening, at least not with any money behind it. The "Hercules Golf Club" fund in the budget shows $0 in, $0 out, for this year and next. It exists on paper as a placeholder fund, but there's no funding, no revenue, and no activity tied to it.The Real Story for Buyers and Sellers: New Development
This is the part that actually matters most if you're in the real estate world. Several big projects are moving forward that will change the housing supply and the look of the city:- The Hercules Hub: This is the city's flagship project: a planned transit hub combining bus, train, and ferry service in one location, reportedly the first of its kind on the West Coast. The city has set aside $3 million as a local match to help fund it and is actively lobbying for federal grant money. If it happens, expect the area around it to become a real center of activity, similar to what transit-oriented development has done in other Bay Area cities.
- Bayline (Bayfront Blocks F & H): 83 units, mostly affordable housing, already approved.
- Bayfront Final Phases: 171 new townhomes approved (9 of them affordable), spread across several remaining Bayfront blocks.
- Sycamore Crossing: A 12-acre mixed retail, hotel, and residential project on Sycamore Avenue, expanding on the existing Aventine and Bayside communities.
- Hilltown (also called Hill Crest): A larger mixed-use residential development approved for up to 598 units. This is the biggest single pipeline of future housing in the city.
