Day 30 is where the San Francisco market quietly changes its mind.

I dug into September’s MLS numbers (376 sales citywide) and the pattern jumped right out. Houses that sold in their first month went for nearly 30% over asking. Condos and TICs went for about 17% over. Past day 60, that premium all but disappeared.

Why the cliff? Two reasons:
There are 28% fewer homes for sale than a year ago, so buyers pile onto the good ones fast.
A new listing only gets one first impression. Priced well, it creates competition. Priced hopefully, it sits, and the leverage shifts to the buyer.

Selling? Your pricing strategy in those first few weeks is the whole game.
Buying? Look at the listings that have been around a while. 78 homes sold after day 30 last month. Nobody was hiding them; most buyers just weren’t looking.
Day 30 is where the San Francisco market quietly changes its mind.

I dug into September’s MLS numbers (376 sales citywide) and the pattern jumped right out. Houses that sold in their first month went for nearly 30% over asking. Condos and TICs went for about 17% over. Past day 60, that premium all but disappeared.

Why the cliff? Two reasons:
There are 28% fewer homes for sale than a year ago, so buyers pile onto the good ones fast.
A new listing only gets one first impression. Priced well, it creates competition. Priced hopefully, it sits, and the leverage shifts to the buyer.

Selling? Your pricing strategy in those first few weeks is the whole game.
Buying? Look at the listings that have been around a while. 78 homes sold after day 30 last month. Nobody was hiding them; most buyers just weren’t looking.
Day 30 is where the San Francisco market quietly changes its mind.

I dug into September’s MLS numbers (376 sales citywide) and the pattern jumped right out. Houses that sold in their first month went for nearly 30% over asking. Condos and TICs went for about 17% over. Past day 60, that premium all but disappeared.

Why the cliff? Two reasons:
There are 28% fewer homes for sale than a year ago, so buyers pile onto the good ones fast.
A new listing only gets one first impression. Priced well, it creates competition. Priced hopefully, it sits, and the leverage shifts to the buyer.

Selling? Your pricing strategy in those first few weeks is the whole game.
Buying? Look at the listings that have been around a while. 78 homes sold after day 30 last month. Nobody was hiding them; most buyers just weren’t looking.
Day 30 is where the San Francisco market quietly changes its mind.

I dug into September’s MLS numbers (376 sales citywide) and the pattern jumped right out. Houses that sold in their first month went for nearly 30% over asking. Condos and TICs went for about 17% over. Past day 60, that premium all but disappeared.

Why the cliff? Two reasons:
There are 28% fewer homes for sale than a year ago, so buyers pile onto the good ones fast.
A new listing only gets one first impression. Priced well, it creates competition. Priced hopefully, it sits, and the leverage shifts to the buyer.

Selling? Your pricing strategy in those first few weeks is the whole game.
Buying? Look at the listings that have been around a while. 78 homes sold after day 30 last month. Nobody was hiding them; most buyers just weren’t looking.
Day 30 is where the San Francisco market quietly changes its mind.

I dug into September’s MLS numbers (376 sales citywide) and the pattern jumped right out. Houses that sold in their first month went for nearly 30% over asking. Condos and TICs went for about 17% over. Past day 60, that premium all but disappeared.

Why the cliff? Two reasons:
There are 28% fewer homes for sale than a year ago, so buyers pile onto the good ones fast.
A new listing only gets one first impression. Priced well, it creates competition. Priced hopefully, it sits, and the leverage shifts to the buyer.

Selling? Your pricing strategy in those first few weeks is the whole game.
Buying? Look at the listings that have been around a while. 78 homes sold after day 30 last month. Nobody was hiding them; most buyers just weren’t looking.

San Francisco Homes Sell Fast, Up to 30% Over Asking in First 30 Days

Day 30 is where the San Francisco market quietly changes its mind. I dug into September’s MLS numbers (376 sales citywide) and the pattern jumped right out. Houses that sold in their first month went for nearly 30% over asking. Condos and TICs went for about 17% over. Past day 60, that premium all but disappeared. Why the cliff? Two reasons: There are 28% fewer homes for sale than a year ago, so buyers pile onto the good ones fast. A new listing only gets one first impression. Priced well, it creates competition. Priced hopefully, it sits, and the leverage shifts to the buyer. Selling? Your pricing strategy in those first few weeks is the whole game. Buying? Look at the listings that have been around a while. 78 homes sold after day 30 last month. Nobody was hiding them; most buyers just weren’t looking.

#sfliving#marketupdate#overasking#singlefamily#condo#tic

October 30, 2026

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